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2025-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 18.7% 81.3% - ✓
Margin 22.8% 77.2% +6.7 ✓ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% - ✓
Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +7 (121-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cooper Flagg * 36 8-16 0-2 8-8 4 3 0 1 3 24 13 -
Naji Marshall * 34 9-12 0-0 4-4 9 4 2 0 5 22 20 -
Anthony Davis * 33 11-20 0-2 2-2 15 2 0 1 1 24 21 -
P.J. Washington * 30 6-8 1-2 2-2 8 2 0 1 0 15 18 -
Ryan Nembhard * 26 3-7 1-2 0-0 0 5 1 0 1 7 5 -
Brandon Williams 21 4-6 0-0 2-2 2 5 0 0 4 10 7 -
Klay Thompson 17 4-11 1-7 1-2 1 1 1 0 3 10 -1 -
Daniel Gafford 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 4 1 2 9 -
Max Christie 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D'Angelo Russell 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 40 15-31 5-11 3-3 2 4 1 1 0 38 15 -
VJ Edgecombe * 34 10-21 3-11 3-3 6 4 0 0 2 26 13 -
Dominick Barlow * 30 9-13 1-4 2-4 4 2 2 0 1 21 15 -
Quentin Grimes * 24 2-9 0-3 2-2 2 7 2 0 1 6 7 -
Andre Drummond * 23 2-5 1-2 1-4 12 3 0 0 0 6 16 -
Jared McCain 30 3-11 1-5 5-6 5 5 3 0 2 12 12 -
Adem Bona 24 2-6 1-1 5-6 8 0 1 1 1 10 13 -
Jabari Walker 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 8 0 1 0 0 2 6 -
Justin Edwards 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter