Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 72.5% | 27.5% | -5.3 | β (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | β |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -28 (98-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 27 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 23 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 21 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama | 21 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Julian Champagnie | 18 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 16 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 32 | 7-18 | 2-10 | 7-9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 30 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 25 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 28 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Asa Newell | 19 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 14 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter