Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +1 (99-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 33 | 11-17 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 7-7 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 30 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 26 | 3-14 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 27 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton | 14 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Gui Santos | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 33 | 10-23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Devin Booker * | 32 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 8 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 30 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter