Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 87.9% | 12.1% | -10.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (116-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 44 | 12-30 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 34 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 13 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 31 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 19 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Javonte Green | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jaden Ivey | 14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Paul Reed | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 39 | 8-20 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 37 | 7-18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 36 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 31 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Max Christie | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 19 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Daniel Gafford | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter