Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 78.0% | 22.0% | -6.9 | β (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +5 (133-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 44 | 5-18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 42 | 12-15 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 25 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 40 | 11-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 11-26 | 0-4 | 6-10 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Steven Adams | 27 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 26 | 4-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Clint Capela | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones * | 38 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Trey Murphy III * | 38 | 9-13 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 34 | 11-18 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 24 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Zion Williamson | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Yves Missi | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bryce McGowens | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter