Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.3% | 21.7% | -7.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -6 (105-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 36 | 8-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 9-18 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 35 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 20 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 23 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 40 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jericho Sims * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| AJ Green * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 39 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Ryan Rollins | 28 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Gary Harris | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter