Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +7 (133-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 39 | 16-27 | 4-9 | 7-7 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 34 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Trae Young * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 34 | 11-18 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Vít Krejčí | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Asa Newell | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller * | 35 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Kon Knueppel * | 34 | 10-17 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Miles Bridges * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| LaMelo Ball * | 29 | 10-16 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Sion James | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Moussa Diabaté | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Tidjane Salaün | 15 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| KJ Simpson | 12 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Josh Green | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter