Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +22.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +25 (119-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyshawn George * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Bub Carrington * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Alex Sarr * | 24 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tre Johnson | 24 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 18 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Will Riley | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Justin Champagnie | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Gill | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 26 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 25 | 7-11 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 24 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 18 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Julian Champagnie | 25 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 22 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama | 17 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter