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2025-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 2.0% 98.0% -
Bradley-Terry 18.7% 81.3% -
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% -
Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% -
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% -
Points Off/Def 30.5% 69.5% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -6 (110-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Santi Aldama * 34 4-8 0-2 0-0 11 3 0 0 3 8 11 -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 33 10-18 2-3 6-6 12 3 1 3 4 28 25 -
Jaylen Wells * 31 5-13 2-6 5-7 4 2 4 0 1 17 13 -
Cedric Coward * 27 5-12 0-4 3-3 5 3 1 0 3 13 7 -
Brandon Clarke * 16 2-7 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 0 0 6 4 -
Jock Landale 29 8-15 4-9 0-0 10 3 2 1 0 20 21 -
Vince Williams Jr. 25 1-6 1-3 2-2 5 4 0 0 2 5 6 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 23 4-12 2-5 2-2 1 3 1 0 3 12 2 -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 15 3-4 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 7 4 -
Jahmai Mashack 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donte DiVincenzo * 37 6-16 4-11 3-6 11 4 3 1 1 19 21 -
Jaden McDaniels * 36 4-11 1-2 4-4 7 6 1 1 1 13 16 -
Julius Randle * 35 9-21 1-6 2-4 5 3 3 0 4 21 7 -
Rudy Gobert * 35 6-8 0-0 4-6 16 4 1 4 4 16 29 -
Bones Hyland * 34 3-11 2-9 4-5 3 5 1 0 2 12 8 -
Naz Reid 30 6-16 3-11 1-1 7 2 1 1 2 16 9 -
Rob Dillingham 11 2-5 0-0 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 5 0 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 10 2-6 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
Jaylen Clark 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 -

* = starter