Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 88.4% | 11.6% | -11.1 | β (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -3 (132-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 35 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 27 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 23 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Julian Champagnie | 28 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 25 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 16 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 14 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 37 | 13-21 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 20 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 36 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 33 | 11-15 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 38 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 31 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Bryce McGowens | 23 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 13 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Yves Missi | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter