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2025-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.8 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -
Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% -
Log Adjusted 40.4% 59.6% -
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +11 (116-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 40 10-16 2-3 2-4 12 14 2 1 3 24 34 -
Keegan Murray * 37 3-11 1-5 1-1 11 2 0 0 2 8 8 -
Zach LaVine * 37 6-13 2-6 2-2 2 3 1 0 5 16 4 -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 8-16 0-2 4-5 5 3 1 0 1 20 12 -
Maxime Raynaud * 23 5-8 0-0 3-4 8 3 0 0 3 13 13 -
Precious Achiuwa 20 5-9 0-0 1-3 5 2 2 2 0 11 13 -
Keon Ellis 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Nique Clifford 14 3-6 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 7 2 -
Malik Monk 9 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Drew Eubanks 5 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennedict Mathurin * 35 7-14 4-9 7-7 6 2 1 0 1 25 19 -
Pascal Siakam * 34 10-21 1-4 2-2 5 4 2 0 2 23 11 -
Andrew Nembhard * 32 10-18 2-4 6-8 4 12 2 0 3 28 25 -
Jay Huff * 31 1-5 0-3 6-6 7 2 2 4 1 8 17 -
Ethan Thompson * 27 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 6 9 -
Jarace Walker 18 3-5 2-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 12 9 -
Garrison Mathews 17 2-7 2-6 1-1 1 1 0 1 0 7 3 -
Isaiah Jackson 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 2 2 0 8 -
T.J. McConnell 15 2-9 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 4 -2 -
Johnny Furphy 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 3 4 -

* = starter