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2025-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 46.6% 53.4% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% - βœ“
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.4 βœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% - βœ“
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 39.9% 60.1% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 39.9% 60.1% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% - βœ—

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -4 (108-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 39 3-16 2-6 3-5 4 4 1 1 2 11 3 -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 38 9-24 2-9 11-14 15 11 0 2 5 31 30 -
Rui Hachimura * 36 7-12 3-7 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 17 12 -
LeBron James * 34 12-17 4-6 1-2 7 6 1 1 2 29 25 -
Deandre Ayton * 31 7-7 0-0 0-0 12 2 1 1 0 14 23 -
Gabe Vincent 19 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Jake LaRavia 17 1-4 1-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Jaxson Hayes 16 1-1 0-0 1-4 5 0 0 3 0 3 10 -
Adou Thiero 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 38 11-24 5-8 1-2 7 9 2 2 4 28 20 -
VJ Edgecombe * 37 5-13 2-3 3-3 5 3 0 0 1 15 9 -
Paul George * 32 3-8 1-3 5-5 6 3 1 0 1 12 13 -
Joel Embiid * 30 4-21 0-6 8-8 7 2 1 1 0 16 6 -
Dominick Barlow * 23 2-7 1-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
Quentin Grimes 29 2-7 1-6 2-2 8 3 0 0 0 7 11 -
Andre Drummond 17 5-11 0-1 1-2 12 0 0 1 0 11 13 -
Jabari Walker 17 1-4 1-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Jared McCain 12 3-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 3 -

* = starter