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2025-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 89.9% 10.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 63.3% 36.7% - ✗
Margin 66.1% 33.9% -3.7 ✗ (26.7 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% - ✗
Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 47.9% 52.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +23 (119-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 32 5-16 2-8 9-10 7 3 0 1 2 21 14 -
Toumani Camara * 32 5-13 3-10 0-0 6 1 3 0 3 13 7 -
Deni Avdija * 30 7-14 2-4 1-3 7 7 3 1 5 17 16 -
Sidy Cissoko * 23 2-6 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 6 1 -
Yang Hansen * 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 4 4 -
Shaedon Sharpe 26 5-11 3-3 4-4 2 2 1 0 6 17 5 -
Kris Murray 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 0 2 8 -
Caleb Love 20 2-7 0-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 4 0 -
Duop Reath 19 4-6 3-4 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 12 8 -
Rayan Rupert 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Javonte Cooke 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Wells * 25 4-8 2-4 6-8 5 3 2 0 0 16 18 -
Cedric Coward * 24 5-12 0-3 1-3 6 3 0 1 3 11 6 -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 23 3-10 0-1 0-0 3 4 3 2 1 6 7 -
Zach Edey * 21 5-11 0-2 2-3 10 3 0 0 6 12 8 -
Vince Williams Jr. * 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 5 -1 -
Cam Spencer 31 4-9 1-5 3-3 3 6 4 0 4 12 12 -
Santi Aldama 28 7-11 3-6 5-7 7 1 2 0 0 22 21 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 23 5-8 3-5 3-3 2 5 2 0 2 16 15 -
Jock Landale 21 4-7 0-3 7-10 8 2 2 0 3 15 17 -
John Konchar 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 3 0 0 2 5 -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 3 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jahmai Mashack 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter