Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -8 (113-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 38 | 9-19 | 3-4 | 9-9 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Payton Pritchard * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Derrick White * | 37 | 10-21 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Jordan Walsh * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Sam Hauser | 26 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Anfernee Simons | 20 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Josh Minott | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Hugo González | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 11-20 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 13 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 23 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 22 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 22 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Lawson | 13 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alijah Martin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter