Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.1% | 18.9% | -8.0 | ✗ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +13 (122-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 40 | 10-19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 33 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 31 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Clint Capela * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 26 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 20 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| JD Davison | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Green | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 35 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 30 | 14-19 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 28 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 23 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 23 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Max Christie | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter