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2025-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 7.2% 92.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 13.0% 87.0% - ✓
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 ✓ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% - ✓
Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 18.2% 81.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 24.5% 75.5% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons +12 (124-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 36 11-16 7-9 3-5 4 6 4 1 1 32 30 -
Jericho Sims * 30 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
Kyle Kuzma * 28 5-12 1-2 4-5 4 1 1 0 3 15 6 -
Myles Turner * 25 4-8 3-7 1-1 1 0 1 1 1 12 6 -
Ryan Rollins * 22 4-14 1-7 1-2 6 6 0 0 2 10 6 -
Gary Trent Jr. 28 4-11 1-5 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 11 3 -
Bobby Portis 20 2-11 1-3 2-5 7 4 1 2 1 7 9 -
Gary Harris 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Andre Jackson Jr. 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 1 1 4 9 -
Amir Coffey 7 0-0 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 4 2-3 0-0 3-6 2 0 1 0 1 7 6 -
Pete Nance 4 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Cole Anthony 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 5 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Duren * 32 6-8 0-0 4-5 16 1 0 1 1 16 25 -
Cade Cunningham * 31 8-18 3-10 4-4 6 12 0 1 3 23 21 -
Ausar Thompson * 27 6-7 0-0 1-3 6 8 1 0 1 13 20 -
Isaiah Stewart * 25 6-8 3-5 4-4 2 0 0 1 1 19 13 -
Duncan Robinson * 23 2-7 1-6 2-3 2 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
Caris LeVert 21 3-5 3-5 2-2 2 1 0 1 2 11 8 -
Ronald Holland II 18 0-8 0-4 4-5 4 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
Javonte Green 16 5-9 2-4 1-1 0 0 2 0 2 13 4 -
Jaden Ivey 15 3-4 3-3 1-2 5 2 0 0 2 10 11 -
Paul Reed 15 3-8 0-1 0-2 10 3 0 0 1 6 10 -
Marcus Sasser 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Chaz Lanier 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Daniss Jenkins 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter