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2025-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 14.0% 86.0% -
Bradley-Terry 28.0% 72.0% -
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +6.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% -
Log Adjusted 44.5% 55.5% -
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -5 (94-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quinten Post * 31 5-14 2-6 0-0 9 3 0 3 2 12 11 -
Pat Spencer * 29 7-12 3-4 2-2 4 7 1 0 1 19 18 -
Buddy Hield * 26 4-9 3-6 2-2 7 3 0 1 1 13 14 -
Jonathan Kuminga * 21 1-10 0-3 2-2 7 3 0 1 1 4 4 -
Will Richard * 20 1-4 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
Gui Santos 26 3-8 2-4 6-8 3 3 0 1 2 14 11 -
Gary Payton II 26 3-9 0-4 0-0 3 1 3 0 3 6 1 -
Brandin Podziemski 21 4-9 2-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 10 6 -
Moses Moody 19 2-5 1-3 4-5 2 2 1 1 1 9 9 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 16 3-6 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 1 0 8 10 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 37 11-26 7-14 0-0 4 3 0 1 2 29 9 -
Evan Mobley * 35 8-19 0-5 2-2 10 1 1 1 1 18 11 -
Jaylon Tyson * 34 5-12 1-4 0-0 11 3 0 0 1 11 12 -
De'Andre Hunter * 33 2-9 0-4 2-3 3 3 1 0 2 6 2 -
Darius Garland * 31 6-15 1-6 4-5 5 4 2 0 3 17 10 -
Dean Wade 19 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 16 3-10 0-2 0-0 12 1 2 1 3 6 9 -
Craig Porter Jr. 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Thomas Bryant 12 0-4 0-3 2-2 6 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Luke Travers 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter