Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 88.8% | 11.2% | -11.4 | β (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | β |
Actual: Washington Wizards -15 (116-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 39 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 35 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 35 | 4-16 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 35 | 10-17 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 30 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 22 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Asa Newell | 12 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyshawn George * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Bub Carrington * | 36 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 35 | 9-17 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 8 | - |
| Justin Champagnie * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 27 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Will Riley | 19 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Malaki Branham | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Gill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter