Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +19 (117-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 10-24 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 4 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 28 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 26 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -3 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 21 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 18 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Nigel Hayes-Davis | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nick Richards | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 8 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 32 | 11-17 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 31 | 12-17 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 16 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 29 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 20 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 19 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Clint Capela | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Green | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| JD Davison | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter