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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% - ✗
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 ✗ (19.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% - ✗
Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 36.3% 63.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% - ✗

Actual: Chicago Bulls -15 (105-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennedict Mathurin * 38 9-16 6-11 4-4 5 3 2 1 2 28 21 -
Andrew Nembhard * 32 7-14 1-5 0-0 2 7 3 0 3 15 10 -
Pascal Siakam * 31 13-24 5-7 5-7 10 1 2 0 3 36 22 -
Jay Huff * 28 4-5 1-2 2-2 4 5 2 5 0 11 22 -
Garrison Mathews * 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
Ethan Thompson 34 4-6 3-5 0-0 2 3 1 2 0 11 13 -
Isaiah Jackson 18 3-4 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 0 2 7 5 -
Johnny Furphy 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
T.J. McConnell 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 2 6 -
Jarace Walker 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Taelon Peter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tony Bradley 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matas Buzelis * 34 5-8 0-3 9-9 12 2 1 1 6 19 21 -
Josh Giddey * 32 2-9 1-3 4-4 7 6 1 0 5 9 9 -
Nikola Vučević * 26 3-7 2-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 8 7 -
Coby White * 26 6-14 1-5 9-12 3 6 0 0 2 22 15 -
Julian Phillips * 22 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
Patrick Williams 26 3-9 2-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
Jevon Carter 22 5-11 4-8 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 14 8 -
Zach Collins 20 3-5 1-2 1-2 6 1 0 0 0 8 10 -
Dalen Terry 19 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 3 1 4 7 3 -
Emanuel Miller 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
Lachlan Olbrich 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter