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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 51.1% 48.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% - ✗
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 ✗ (25.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - ✗
Efficiency 47.6% 52.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 48.4% 51.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% - ✗

Actual: Toronto Raptors -25 (86-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 32 5-11 1-6 4-5 9 5 1 0 2 15 17 -
Kon Knueppel * 31 7-12 5-9 2-2 3 7 1 1 4 21 17 -
Brandon Miller * 29 5-14 1-6 1-2 3 2 1 1 4 12 1 -
Ryan Kalkbrenner * 25 5-6 0-0 2-5 6 1 1 2 0 12 16 -
LaMelo Ball * 11 4-9 0-4 3-3 2 3 1 0 2 11 6 -
KJ Simpson 28 2-6 1-2 3-4 3 4 5 0 7 8 7 -
Tidjane Salaün 22 6-8 5-6 4-4 3 1 1 1 0 21 19 -
Liam McNeeley 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
Moussa Diabaté 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
Sion James 14 0-0 0-0 3-4 3 1 2 1 1 3 9 -
Mason Plumlee 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 1 5 -
Antonio Reeves 3 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 31 6-15 1-5 0-0 3 5 1 1 4 13 4 -
Immanuel Quickley * 30 11-22 4-10 5-5 3 4 1 0 1 31 16 -
Brandon Ingram * 28 3-13 1-1 0-0 9 2 0 0 4 7 1 -
Ja'Kobe Walter * 24 0-7 0-3 2-4 4 2 3 0 1 2 3 -
Jakob Poeltl * 22 2-5 0-0 1-2 7 1 2 1 3 5 8 -
Jamal Shead 21 4-12 1-4 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 9 3 -
Gradey Dick 20 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 0 -
Collin Murray-Boyles 19 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 7 2 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 15 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 2 0 3 5 -
Jamison Battle 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
Garrett Temple 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
Jonathan Mogbo 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter