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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 22.0% 78.0% - ✓
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.5 ✓ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% - ✓
Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 21.4% 78.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.3% 78.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons +6 (122-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 38 9-16 3-7 14-15 9 7 1 0 4 35 32 -
Jerami Grant * 33 8-19 4-9 9-9 6 4 1 1 2 29 20 -
Robert Williams III * 30 4-8 0-2 0-0 14 1 0 5 2 8 18 -
Toumani Camara * 24 0-4 0-3 1-2 2 4 1 0 0 1 4 -
Sidy Cissoko * 22 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 8 6 -
Shaedon Sharpe 34 10-25 1-7 7-7 5 3 1 0 2 28 10 -
Kris Murray 27 0-2 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 0 4 -
Duop Reath 13 2-2 2-2 1-2 3 0 0 1 2 7 7 -
Caleb Love 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Rayan Rupert 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 36 7-15 2-4 13-14 4 9 3 1 1 29 30 -
Duncan Robinson * 33 4-7 4-6 2-2 7 0 2 0 1 14 15 -
Tobias Harris * 31 3-10 1-3 3-4 4 4 0 0 1 10 7 -
Jalen Duren * 27 6-11 0-0 6-9 8 0 0 1 6 18 10 -
Ausar Thompson * 24 6-12 0-1 3-5 4 2 1 0 1 15 9 -
Isaiah Stewart 21 3-7 0-2 3-4 1 1 0 4 1 9 7 -
Ronald Holland II 20 6-11 3-6 2-5 3 0 1 0 1 17 9 -
Caris LeVert 16 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 3 0 1 1 4 7 -
Daniss Jenkins 14 1-4 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 0 4 5 -
Jaden Ivey 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
Javonte Green 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter