Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.7% | 36.3% | -3.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +13 (130-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 9-19 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 29 | 8-16 | 7-13 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 24 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 23 | 1-11 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 32 | 11-15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 31 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 19 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 20 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin * | 18 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Dean Wade | 29 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Luke Travers | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Livingston | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter