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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 39.1% 60.9% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% - βœ“
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 βœ“ (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% - βœ“
Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 21.9% 78.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 27.1% 72.9% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +21 (126-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 33 9-18 3-8 15-17 3 8 0 0 4 36 25 -
Gabe Vincent * 29 5-10 4-8 4-4 1 1 0 0 0 18 10 -
Rui Hachimura * 29 5-11 3-7 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 13 7 -
Deandre Ayton * 27 3-9 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 1 2 6 7 -
Jake LaRavia * 20 2-6 0-2 2-2 1 1 3 0 1 6 4 -
Nick Smith Jr. 23 5-10 3-6 0-0 2 0 2 1 1 13 7 -
Adou Thiero 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Maxi Kleber 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dalton Knecht 13 1-5 0-2 3-4 1 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
Jaxson Hayes 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 3 6 -
Drew Timme 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 5 -
Bronny James 6 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 5 2 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 33 10-22 3-7 7-9 8 8 1 0 3 30 22 -
Payton Pritchard * 30 6-13 3-7 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 15 9 -
Derrick White * 29 7-14 5-10 0-0 5 6 0 1 3 19 14 -
Jordan Walsh * 26 6-7 4-5 1-1 4 1 1 2 1 17 17 -
Neemias Queta * 26 5-8 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 10 12 -
Sam Hauser 24 4-8 4-7 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 12 9 -
Josh Minott 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 0 6 10 -
Anfernee Simons 15 2-4 2-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 8 10 -
Baylor Scheierman 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 3 5 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 4 0 -
Xavier Tillman 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Luka Garza 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
Amari Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter