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2025-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 84.3% 15.7% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.4% 24.6% - βœ“
Margin 74.0% 26.0% -5.7 βœ“ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.3% 41.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 77.4% 22.6% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 73.1% 26.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 63.2% 36.8% - βœ“

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -9 (116-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 36 9-18 2-3 8-8 9 3 0 0 4 28 18 -
Jaden McDaniels * 34 6-14 0-2 2-2 7 5 2 2 2 14 14 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 32 5-10 4-8 1-1 4 3 0 1 1 15 12 -
Anthony Edwards * 31 3-6 2-3 3-3 6 4 1 3 8 11 11 -
Rudy Gobert * 23 5-8 0-0 5-8 12 3 0 1 1 15 22 -
Naz Reid 32 6-13 4-9 3-3 7 6 1 2 0 19 22 -
Mike Conley 16 1-7 0-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Jaylen Clark 14 4-9 2-6 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 12 6 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 9 2-4 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
Rob Dillingham 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 1 0 2 3 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryce McGowens * 33 5-12 0-3 5-6 3 5 1 1 0 15 13 -
Saddiq Bey * 33 8-17 0-5 4-4 6 1 3 0 0 20 13 -
Jeremiah Fears * 33 8-17 2-2 2-2 7 6 1 0 3 20 14 -
Trey Murphy III * 33 7-17 0-5 7-8 7 8 2 0 2 21 19 -
Derik Queen * 29 4-9 0-0 4-4 4 5 1 0 1 12 12 -
Jose Alvarado 22 5-8 3-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 13 9 -
Karlo Matković 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 8 10 -
Jordan Hawkins 16 2-6 2-4 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 7 5 -
Micah Peavy 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 0 2 -
Trey Alexander 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter