Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -3 (120-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 40 | 13-21 | 5-11 | 13-15 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 33 | - |
| LeBron James * | 35 | 4-17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Gabe Vincent * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 28 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 14 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 36 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 30 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 36 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 10-23 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 24 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 15 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter