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2025-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 16.1% 83.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.7% 69.3% - ✓
Margin 42.1% 57.9% +1.8 ✓ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% - ✓
Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 53.5% 46.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +1 (99-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moses Moody * 23 5-10 2-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 14 8 -
Will Richard * 20 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 5 5 -
Brandin Podziemski * 19 2-8 0-5 2-2 6 0 1 0 3 6 2 -
Al Horford * 17 1-8 1-7 0-0 6 4 1 1 0 3 7 -
Draymond Green * 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
Buddy Hield 25 6-12 2-7 0-0 8 2 2 1 0 14 15 -
Quinten Post 25 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 10 9 -
Pat Spencer 24 5-8 2-3 4-4 4 4 1 0 2 16 15 -
De'Anthony Melton 21 5-11 0-2 4-4 1 3 2 1 1 14 9 -
Jonathan Kuminga 20 4-12 1-2 0-2 6 2 0 0 3 9 2 -
Seth Curry 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Gui Santos 11 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 4 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Gary Payton II 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 39 13-27 4-10 5-5 3 2 2 1 3 35 13 -
Quentin Grimes * 38 5-13 0-5 2-3 5 6 1 0 1 12 10 -
Dominick Barlow * 35 3-6 0-1 0-0 14 3 1 3 1 6 20 -
Joel Embiid * 25 5-13 0-5 2-2 6 3 0 1 3 12 6 -
VJ Edgecombe * 23 4-8 2-5 0-0 6 5 3 0 5 10 11 -
Justin Edwards 21 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 8 7 -
Jared McCain 21 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 7 2 -
Andre Drummond 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Jabari Walker 12 2-3 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 7 7 -
Adem Bona 5 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter