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2025-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 86.6% 13.4% -
Bradley-Terry 79.0% 21.0% -
Margin 89.4% 10.6% -11.7 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 66.5% 33.5% -
Efficiency 79.5% 20.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.6% 24.4% -
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% -
Points Off/Def 64.1% 35.9% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +4 (113-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 35 5-15 1-7 6-6 7 7 1 0 2 17 15 -
Tobias Harris * 29 7-14 5-8 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 20 11 -
Jalen Duren * 25 4-7 0-0 0-1 6 3 1 0 1 8 10 -
Ausar Thompson * 25 3-7 0-0 4-6 6 5 2 0 2 10 14 -
Daniss Jenkins * 24 2-8 1-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 7 0 -
Caris LeVert 23 1-10 1-8 1-2 2 4 0 1 1 4 0 -
Jaden Ivey 18 5-10 2-5 3-3 6 1 0 1 2 15 11 -
Isaiah Stewart 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 5 9 -
Ronald Holland II 17 2-10 0-3 1-1 2 0 1 0 1 5 -3 -
Javonte Green 15 3-6 2-4 1-1 1 2 2 0 1 9 7 -
Paul Reed 7 4-5 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 9 8 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AJ Green * 39 6-12 5-11 2-2 2 0 1 2 0 19 12 -
Ryan Rollins * 38 9-16 1-6 3-3 4 8 2 0 3 22 17 -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 35 8-18 3-8 7-7 2 7 2 0 7 26 12 -
Myles Turner * 19 2-5 1-4 4-4 3 1 0 2 0 9 10 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Bobby Portis 30 5-13 2-8 1-2 9 5 0 0 0 13 14 -
Jericho Sims 30 7-7 0-0 1-1 14 1 0 0 1 15 22 -
Gary Trent Jr. 22 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 1 -
Kyle Kuzma 21 2-7 0-3 0-0 4 3 1 2 3 4 4 -

* = starter