Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +26 (121-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 37 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 28 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 22 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Zach LaVine * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Drew Eubanks * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud | 32 | 10-15 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Malik Monk | 29 | 10-19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa | 18 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 31 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 29 | 11-20 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Steven Adams | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Clint Capela | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| JD Davison | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Green | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter