Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.9% | 95.1% | +16.3 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +7 (126-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Edey * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -4 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 28 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 26 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 21 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| John Konchar | 17 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jock Landale | 15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 35 | 10-20 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 31 | 8-19 | 4-8 | 9-10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 27 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 20 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 18 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter