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2025-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 84.3% 15.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 75.4% 24.6% - ✓
Margin 74.0% 26.0% -5.7 ✓ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.3% 41.7% - ✓
Efficiency 77.4% 22.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 73.1% 26.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 63.2% 36.8% - ✓

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -7 (142-149). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 47 16-30 6-13 6-8 5 4 0 1 3 44 21 -
Rudy Gobert * 38 9-10 0-0 8-10 13 2 1 1 0 26 33 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 37 5-16 5-15 0-0 4 5 2 1 1 15 10 -
Jaden McDaniels * 33 7-10 3-3 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 17 15 -
Julius Randle * 32 6-14 0-3 4-4 5 6 0 0 2 16 11 -
Naz Reid 32 6-12 4-8 2-2 5 6 2 0 2 18 17 -
Jaylen Clark 15 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Mike Conley 13 1-5 0-4 3-3 1 1 1 0 0 5 3 -
Rob Dillingham 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 7 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 40 11-21 4-8 7-7 15 4 0 0 1 33 30 -
Derik Queen * 38 8-15 0-0 5-8 8 6 1 0 2 21 19 -
Saddiq Bey * 35 7-12 0-3 8-8 6 3 0 0 2 22 17 -
Jeremiah Fears * 33 7-13 1-2 6-7 3 5 1 1 3 21 15 -
Bryce McGowens * 25 2-5 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
Jose Alvarado 25 5-8 4-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 14 11 -
Jordan Hawkins 22 3-7 2-3 2-3 0 0 0 0 1 10 2 -
Micah Peavy 20 4-6 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 8 6 -
Kevon Looney 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Trey Alexander 11 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 7 8 -

* = starter