Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (121-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 37 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 10-15 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 28 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 35 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Jerami Grant * | 32 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 30 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Kris Murray | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Caleb Love | 12 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 38 | 10-18 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 34 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 34 | 9-11 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 23 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 17 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 16 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter