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2025-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% - βœ—
Margin 40.8% 59.2% +2.0 βœ— (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% - βœ—
Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 61.0% 39.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 51.6% 48.4% - βœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -17 (108-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Gillespie * 33 10-19 8-14 0-0 4 5 2 0 2 28 18 -
Royce O'Neale * 33 2-7 2-6 0-0 7 11 1 0 1 6 17 -
Dillon Brooks * 32 15-26 2-7 1-3 2 2 1 0 4 33 8 -
Mark Williams * 24 6-8 0-0 1-3 6 1 2 1 0 13 15 -
Devin Booker * 9 4-7 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 11 8 -
Jordan Goodwin 24 5-10 3-7 0-0 1 5 3 0 1 13 11 -
Jamaree Bouyea 22 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 5 3 0 1 7 12 -
Oso Ighodaro 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 4 3 -
Ryan Dunn 20 3-5 0-2 0-0 8 1 2 0 0 6 12 -
Nigel Hayes-Davis 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
Khaman Maluach 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Rasheer Fleming 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 33 6-12 3-7 1-1 4 3 0 0 5 16 6 -
LeBron James * 31 3-10 1-4 3-4 0 3 0 0 3 10 0 -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 31 15-26 3-8 5-5 11 5 0 0 9 38 19 -
Deandre Ayton * 27 6-8 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 0 12 15 -
Rui Hachimura * 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Gabe Vincent 20 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
Jake LaRavia 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Dalton Knecht 15 5-7 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 13 11 -
Jaxson Hayes 14 1-1 0-0 4-5 2 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
Maxi Kleber 10 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
Bronny James 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Nick Smith Jr. 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Adou Thiero 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter