Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 87.6% | 12.4% | -10.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +8 (133-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 10-25 | 2-7 | 10-12 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 16 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 38 | 12-19 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 38 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 23 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 32 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Clint Capela | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen * | 37 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Keyonte George * | 37 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 10-12 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Ace Bailey * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 24 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski | 29 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Love | 15 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Collier | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter