Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.2% | 14.8% | -9.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -16 (119-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 34 | 16-27 | 4-10 | 7-9 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 43 | 28 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 30 | 10-13 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 21 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Luke Travers | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chris Livingston | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 32 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 11-21 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 25 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 21 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Garrison Mathews | 25 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 6-9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ethan Thompson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter