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2025-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.0% 79.0% - βœ“
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 βœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 24.6% 75.4% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 28.7% 71.3% - βœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +1 (99-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 37 9-17 4-8 7-8 13 7 0 0 4 29 28 -
Dyson Daniels * 37 5-14 0-2 0-1 5 5 4 0 1 10 9 -
Onyeka Okongwu * 35 9-18 2-9 0-0 6 4 1 3 3 20 13 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 35 10-19 6-10 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 26 11 -
Zaccharie Risacher * 21 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 3 0 2 4 0 -
Mouhamed Gueye 22 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 3 1 0 1 3 -
Luke Kennard 16 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 5 4 -
Vít Krejčí 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
Keaton Wallace 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 0 6 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 38 7-15 0-4 4-4 8 8 6 3 6 18 22 -
Jalen Duren * 32 9-12 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 0 3 21 17 -
Ausar Thompson * 29 3-4 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 1 8 13 -
Tobias Harris * 26 2-14 1-5 4-4 7 1 0 0 3 9 0 -
Daniss Jenkins * 26 3-16 0-8 0-2 8 6 0 0 3 6 1 -
Isaiah Stewart 25 3-4 0-1 0-0 10 0 0 5 2 6 15 -
Caris LeVert 24 5-9 3-4 1-4 2 1 2 0 2 14 8 -
Ronald Holland II 17 6-8 1-2 4-4 6 0 2 0 1 17 16 -
Jaden Ivey 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Javonte Green 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter