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2025-12-01

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.2% 85.8% - βœ“
Margin 19.6% 80.4% +7.8 βœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 34.0% 66.0% - βœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +12 (133-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryce McGowens * 33 9-18 3-5 2-4 7 5 0 0 0 23 17 -
Saddiq Bey * 32 9-13 3-4 1-2 11 3 1 0 1 22 23 -
Derik Queen * 28 4-12 0-0 7-8 7 3 1 0 1 15 13 -
Jeremiah Fears * 27 7-14 1-3 6-6 2 3 1 0 1 21 12 -
Yves Missi * 23 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
Micah Peavy 29 5-10 3-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 13 6 -
Jose Alvarado 28 5-12 2-8 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 12 2 -
Trey Alexander 21 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 1 1 7 8 -
Kevon Looney 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 6 9 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 39 9-15 4-7 11-12 5 8 1 1 5 33 28 -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 35 9-22 4-12 12-14 12 7 1 1 2 34 31 -
Rui Hachimura * 33 6-14 2-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 14 2 -
Deandre Ayton * 26 7-9 0-0 8-8 12 1 0 4 0 22 30 -
Gabe Vincent * 24 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 6 8 -
Jake LaRavia 25 4-14 2-7 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 10 3 -
Jaxson Hayes 21 4-4 0-0 0-1 6 2 0 2 0 8 14 -
Dalton Knecht 17 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 2 0 1 0 4 4 -
Maxi Kleber 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Adou Thiero 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter