Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +13 (125-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 10-20 | 1-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 7 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 31 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 26 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 19 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 36 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Anthony Edwards * | 35 | 13-18 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 16 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 29 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Naz Reid | 29 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Mike Conley | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Rob Dillingham | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Johnny Juzang | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Leonard Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter