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2025-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% - βœ—
Margin 56.3% 43.7% -1.4 βœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - βœ“
Efficiency 62.1% 37.9% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 51.3% 48.7% - βœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -2 (115-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Walsh * 38 4-7 1-3 5-6 11 1 2 1 4 14 18 -
Jaylen Brown * 37 3-13 1-4 12-16 12 11 1 0 6 19 24 -
Sam Hauser * 35 3-6 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 7 9 -
Payton Pritchard * 30 15-22 6-11 6-6 3 3 0 0 2 42 24 -
Xavier Tillman * 29 4-9 1-5 0-0 6 0 3 1 2 9 8 -
Anfernee Simons 27 8-14 2-7 0-1 1 2 1 0 0 18 8 -
Baylor Scheierman 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
Josh Minott 12 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 0 1 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
Amari Williams 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 38 11-17 3-6 2-2 14 4 0 0 1 27 27 -
Donovan Mitchell * 38 7-16 3-7 1-2 7 8 3 0 5 18 15 -
Jaylon Tyson * 34 6-18 5-12 0-0 5 1 2 2 0 17 9 -
Darius Garland * 31 7-16 4-9 3-5 3 8 0 0 4 21 12 -
De'Andre Hunter * 26 3-10 2-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 0 -
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 22 3-5 0-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
Dean Wade 20 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Tyrese Proctor 11 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 8 9 -
Craig Porter Jr. 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 4 7 -
Thomas Bryant 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter