Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | -1.4 | β (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | β |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -2 (115-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Walsh * | 38 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 12-16 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 35 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Payton Pritchard * | 30 | 15-22 | 6-11 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 24 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Anfernee Simons | 27 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Josh Minott | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Hugo GonzΓ‘lez | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Amari Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 38 | 11-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 38 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 34 | 6-18 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Darius Garland * | 31 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 26 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Dean Wade | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter