Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.6% | 12.4% | -10.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -28 (101-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Sheppard * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 29 | 10-14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 28 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 20 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Steven Adams | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Clint Capela | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 9 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Green | 7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| JD Davison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Bailey * | 31 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 19 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Keyonte George * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | -10 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski | 30 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Anderson | 24 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 24 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Collier | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter