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2025-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% -
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% -
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Log Adjusted 41.4% 58.6% -
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% -

Actual: LA Clippers -4 (110-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cooper Flagg * 37 13-22 0-3 9-11 8 2 0 0 3 35 20 -
Naji Marshall * 36 6-11 2-6 4-4 8 3 3 0 0 18 21 -
Dwight Powell * 33 3-4 0-0 3-4 5 3 6 1 1 9 19 -
Ryan Nembhard * 20 3-8 2-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 8 2 -
Max Christie * 19 1-9 1-8 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -3 -
Brandon Williams 25 5-14 0-5 4-5 1 7 3 1 1 14 11 -
Klay Thompson 25 8-13 6-10 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 23 14 -
Caleb Martin 21 0-5 0-2 0-0 7 2 3 0 1 0 6 -
Moussa Cisse 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Jaden Hardy 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ivica Zubac * 37 8-12 0-0 3-3 11 4 1 1 2 19 22 -
James Harden * 36 5-17 2-6 17-19 8 11 0 1 7 29 25 -
John Collins * 36 9-10 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 3 1 21 18 -
Kris Dunn * 32 3-7 0-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 6 5 -
Kawhi Leonard * 28 10-20 3-4 7-7 8 3 0 0 2 30 19 -
Nicolas Batum 28 0-4 0-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
Kobe Brown 19 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 5 3 -
Chris Paul 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 0 3 -
Kobe Sanders 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter