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2025-11-30

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 40.2% 59.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% - ✓
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 ✓ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 23.1% 76.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 23.1% 76.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +8 (104-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 37 7-17 2-7 5-8 7 3 1 1 1 21 15 -
Jeremiah Fears * 36 5-17 3-9 3-6 6 2 2 0 2 16 7 -
Zion Williamson * 30 8-16 0-2 9-10 7 4 0 0 3 25 17 -
Bryce McGowens * 26 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 5 5 -
Derik Queen * 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Micah Peavy 31 2-8 0-2 3-4 5 1 1 0 0 7 6 -
Jose Alvarado 30 1-10 1-7 4-4 3 4 0 1 2 7 3 -
Yves Missi 20 4-6 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 0 2 9 11 -
Kevon Looney 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 4 8 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler III * 37 7-15 0-2 10-14 8 10 0 0 2 24 25 -
Brandin Podziemski * 32 5-13 3-9 2-2 5 6 1 0 0 15 14 -
Draymond Green * 31 0-9 0-7 2-2 9 4 1 0 1 2 6 -
Moses Moody * 27 4-12 2-7 1-1 3 0 2 2 1 11 5 -
Quinten Post * 16 3-6 1-4 1-1 2 2 0 1 1 8 6 -
Gary Payton II 25 9-14 1-2 0-0 11 3 0 0 1 19 18 -
Will Richard 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Jonathan Kuminga 18 4-8 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 10 3 -
Buddy Hield 16 3-9 2-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
Pat Spencer 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter