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2025-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% - βœ“
Margin 36.1% 63.9% +3.1 βœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - βœ“
Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% - βœ“

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +7 (118-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 39 10-26 1-5 1-2 6 4 0 0 3 22 3 -
Scottie Barnes * 39 11-16 1-2 7-8 12 5 2 1 3 30 31 -
Immanuel Quickley * 36 9-20 3-8 1-1 3 10 0 0 3 22 12 -
Jakob Poeltl * 32 4-6 0-0 0-0 11 9 2 1 3 8 22 -
Ja'Kobe Walter * 27 1-3 1-2 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 5 8 -
Jamal Shead 22 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 19 5-10 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 13 6 -
Gradey Dick 17 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 1 -
Ochai Agbaji 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 -
Collin Murray-Boyles 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 2 2 0 1 1 7 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 41 13-23 2-8 7-9 3 0 1 0 0 35 16 -
Kon Knueppel * 36 5-10 4-7 6-6 6 4 2 0 2 20 20 -
Brandon Miller * 25 1-13 0-6 5-5 2 3 0 2 1 7 0 -
Ryan Kalkbrenner * 22 3-4 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 1 0 8 14 -
LaMelo Ball * 21 6-16 1-6 1-1 2 5 0 0 2 14 3 -
Collin Sexton 33 6-11 2-5 4-4 1 5 3 1 3 18 14 -
Moussa DiabatΓ© 30 3-5 0-0 1-2 9 2 1 0 0 7 14 -
Sion James 30 1-5 0-3 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 2 7 -
Liam McNeeley 13 3-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 7 6 -
Tre Mann 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter