🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 33.0% 67.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Margin 58.5% 41.5% -1.9 ✗ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% - ✗
Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 58.0% 42.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% - ✗

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +4 (119-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 39 17-32 5-11 2-4 6 7 5 1 4 41 24 -
Derrick White * 38 6-16 2-8 2-3 1 5 0 2 1 16 7 -
Payton Pritchard * 30 4-14 1-8 0-0 5 4 1 1 0 9 6 -
Neemias Queta * 28 7-8 0-0 5-8 18 0 0 2 2 19 29 -
Jordan Walsh * 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Sam Hauser 29 5-12 4-10 0-0 6 4 1 1 0 14 14 -
Anfernee Simons 17 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
Josh Minott 16 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
Baylor Scheierman 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 1 -
Luka Garza 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 37 12-24 5-11 10-11 2 5 0 1 0 39 23 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 34 5-9 4-7 1-2 3 8 1 0 1 15 17 -
Julius Randle * 32 6-13 3-8 1-2 9 6 0 0 4 16 14 -
Rudy Gobert * 30 5-6 0-0 2-3 8 3 0 0 0 12 17 -
Jaden McDaniels * 25 3-8 2-4 0-0 4 3 1 1 2 8 7 -
Naz Reid 28 4-9 2-6 0-0 8 2 1 2 3 10 11 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 17 3-7 2-5 2-2 0 0 0 0 3 10 0 -
Mike Conley 17 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 8 -
Jaylen Clark 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Rob Dillingham 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter