Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -22 (92-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 36 | 10-16 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 34 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 27 | 8-17 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| JD Davison | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Steven Adams | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Clint Capela | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Green | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 32 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 11-22 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Nick Richards * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 29 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Livers | 22 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nigel Hayes-Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter