🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% - ✗
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 ✓ (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - ✓
Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 54.0% 46.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 53.9% 46.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 48.1% 51.9% - ✓

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +13 (143-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 35 7-15 3-10 7-10 5 6 1 0 5 24 16 -
Josh Giddey * 35 6-12 4-10 5-6 7 6 0 0 5 21 17 -
Ayo Dosunmu * 32 11-16 2-4 4-5 2 1 0 0 1 28 14 -
Patrick Williams * 27 2-9 2-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 6 2 -
Matas Buzelis * 21 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 10 6 -
Tre Jones 27 2-4 0-1 6-9 2 11 0 0 0 10 19 -
Jalen Smith 26 4-6 3-5 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 13 12 -
Jevon Carter 18 4-7 3-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 11 7 -
Julian Phillips 14 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 7 8 -
Noa Essengue 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 36 7-16 4-10 2-3 4 4 2 0 1 20 13 -
Saddiq Bey * 34 8-16 3-8 1-4 13 3 2 0 0 20 22 -
Zion Williamson * 29 8-14 0-0 13-16 1 2 2 1 2 29 19 -
Jeremiah Fears * 24 4-9 2-3 5-6 4 3 0 0 1 15 12 -
Derik Queen * 16 4-9 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 1 1 8 9 -
Jose Alvarado 31 7-16 2-9 0-0 8 8 2 0 2 16 16 -
Yves Missi 29 7-11 0-0 0-0 14 0 0 3 2 14 18 -
Micah Peavy 19 5-9 0-2 0-2 3 2 4 0 0 10 10 -
Bryce McGowens 17 3-4 2-3 3-4 3 2 0 0 1 11 11 -

* = starter