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2025-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 72.2% 27.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 58.7% 41.3% - ✓
Margin 67.3% 32.7% -4.0 ✓ (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 56.8% 43.2% - ✓
Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 51.3% 48.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% - ✗

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -12 (103-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 31 5-11 3-7 0-1 7 3 2 1 2 13 13 -
Deni Avdija * 31 6-13 5-7 5-8 4 5 0 1 4 22 15 -
Jerami Grant * 30 8-18 3-7 16-19 4 4 0 1 2 35 24 -
Sidy Cissoko * 28 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 3 2 -
Donovan Clingan * 27 5-8 2-4 2-3 11 4 1 1 1 14 22 -
Caleb Love 26 5-13 3-8 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 13 7 -
Kris Murray 26 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 0 3 0 0 2 7 -
Robert Williams III 16 3-5 0-1 2-2 5 0 1 4 0 8 13 -
Rayan Rupert 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
Yang Hansen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Duop Reath 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Turner * 32 4-12 3-8 2-2 11 1 0 4 1 13 16 -
Ryan Rollins * 30 4-14 0-4 2-2 5 7 1 0 4 10 5 -
Kyle Kuzma * 27 5-9 1-1 4-6 6 0 0 0 0 15 12 -
AJ Green * 24 2-6 1-5 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 6 2 -
Jericho Sims * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Gary Trent Jr. 32 3-7 2-4 4-5 2 3 1 0 2 12 9 -
Bobby Portis 26 9-15 4-5 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 22 16 -
Cole Anthony 17 8-12 0-4 0-0 2 2 2 1 3 16 8 -
Gary Harris 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 0 8 -
Andre Jackson Jr. 7 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 3 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
Amir Coffey 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Mark Sears 3 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Pete Nance 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter