Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +11 (110-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 34 | 3-15 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 33 | 6-20 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 33 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 31 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 31 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 19 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Chris Livingston | 14 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Luke Travers | 11 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 38 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 37 | 15-30 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 13 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 21 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter