Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.7% | 8.3% | -13.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -5 (117-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 35 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 33 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 22 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 6-9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 19 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Jaden Ivey | 11 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Javonte Green | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 10-14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 28 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ben Sheppard * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 27 | 8-10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 22 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jay Huff | 17 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 13 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Garrison Mathews | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter