Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | -5.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +9 (111-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 14-16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 30 | 3-14 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 7 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 8-11 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 35 | 10-24 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 33 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 30 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Isaiah Livers | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Nick Richards | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter